RaceCaller Forum

Always at the races

You are not logged in.

#1 2017-11-15 20:29:39

lunarcal1987
Forum Beginner
Join Date: 2017-11-13
Posts: 1

Betvictor Gold Cup Trends??????????????!!

Any going up

Offline

 

#2 2017-11-15 21:58:50

fadinglight
Forum Expert
Join Date: 2013-02-28
Posts: 160

Re: Betvictor Gold Cup Trends??????????????!!

If you want trends for the big weekend races go to Geegeez.co.uk.


Racecaller seems to have given up posting them!

Offline

 

#3 2017-11-16 19:52:20

racingbula
Forum Beginner
Join Date: 2014-01-31
Posts: 1

Re: Betvictor Gold Cup Trends??????????????!!


does last years summary help




Summary:



Based on
trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:



- Aged 5 to 7



- Officially rated 139 to 149  



- Having first run of the season or
finished in first 2 in Colin Parker Memorial Chase



- Had previous start at Cheltenham,
Carlisle or Aintree



- Previously won a chase at Cheltenham



- Won a class 2 or better chase over 2M
4F to 2M 6F



- Second or third season chaser
(preferably 2nd season chaser)



- Previously run less than 10 times over
fences



- Run in 7 or fewer handicap chases



- First 3 in 2015 Steel Plate &
Sections Novice Chase or December Gold Cup



- Ran in a chase at the 2016 Cheltenham
Festival



- Finished in first 7 in Close Brothers
Novice Handicap Chase



- Trained in Great Britain



- Trained by Paul Nicholls, Alan King or
Jonjo O’Neill

Offline

 

#4 2017-11-17 20:34:10

bitchy
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2011-02-23
Posts: 1271

Re: Betvictor Gold Cup Trends??????????????!!


One of the strongest trends associated with this race is the one related to official ratings and the desired bracket is between 136 and 150. This accounts for all but two of the last ten winners, with Al Ferof and last year’s winner Taquin Du Seuil having won off a mark of 159 and 156 respectively. In terms of this year’s field it eliminates the top horse Kylemore Lough as well as the bottom four (from Guitar Pete down to Lake Takapuna).

When we consider the age of recent winners it is clear that seven-year-olds come out on top, having been successful in six of the last ten renewals. There are five such representatives this time around, namely Days Of Heaven, Tully East, Theinval, Aqua Dude and Guitar Pete.

Weight can often play a big part in the outcome of competitive races such as this and the BetVictor Gold Cup is no exception. Of the last ten renewals only Al Ferof and Taquin Du Seuil have carried more than 11st 5lb to victory which suggests that Kylemore Lough down to Tully East are up against it.

Strong form on their most recent start is something that has served horses well in this race in the past. Six of the last ten winners had finished no worse than fourth on their last start, something that all but five of this year’s field have in common. However, this stat has to be taken with a pinch of salt as many of these horses will be making their seasonal debuts on Saturday so recent form may be as far back as March or April.

In terms of trainers, there are three yards which have tasted success more than once in the last decade, they are Jonjo O’Neill (2013 & 2016), Nigel Twiston-Davies (2008 & 2010) and the Paul Nicholls yard (2012 & 2014). The first named is without a runner this year but it is worth taking a second look at runners from the other
yards.


The final factor worthy of mention is the betting and historically this is not a race in which it is worth taking a punt on one at a big price. In fact, seven of the last ten winners were sent off at single figure SPs with Little Josh (20/1) the biggest priced winner in the last decade. Kylemore Lough currently leads the market at around 5/1 with the likes of Tully East, Foxtail Hill, Le Prezien, Romain De Senam and Starchitect also available at single-figure odds.

Offline

 

Board footer

Powered by PunBB
© Copyright 2002–2008 PunBB

Message to