RaceCaller Forum

Always at the races

You are not logged in.

#1 2016-11-05 07:05:31

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Nicholls at Wincanton

I got an email a short while ago that mention Nicholls record at Wincanton.
Basically the criteria was this and hits a 50% strike rate.
Wincanton
Age under 7
distance less than 23 furlongs
Not December or January.
12 runners or less
He has a horse in every race but two in the 3.20
If I have calculated right that leaves the following


12.30  Capitaine*   1/5  Won 1/9
  1.00  Boa Island* 4/6  Won 2/5
  1.35 Frodon*   15/8 Won 5/2
  2.10 Zubayr*    7/2  Lost 
  2.45 Antartica De Thaix  2/1  Lost 
  3.55 As And When   1/3          Lost 


I've discovered that when you add in a horse that won last time out the strike rate goes up to over 70%. I have put in bold the four that won last time.
6 timer pays £103.50 at current PP prices
4 fold pays  £25.87 




  

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-10-19 20:30:07)

Offline

 

#2 2016-11-05 08:08:54

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Zubayr's form figures show that it finished 3rd LTO but that was at Auteuil which I haven't included any foreign races in the research.

Offline

 

#3 2016-11-05 10:52:11

pottokblue
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-08-18
Posts: 4031

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Thanks Baz will out the bold Nicholls pack into an L15

Online

 

#4 2016-11-05 10:54:15

arcjimmy
Forum Novice
Join Date: 2015-08-19
Posts: 90

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

bazbuz wrote:


Zubayr's form figures show that it finished 3rd LTO but that was at Auteuil which I haven't included any foreign races in the research.

Harry Cobden also boasts a 55% strike rate.

Offline

 

#5 2016-11-05 13:44:10

pottokblue
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-08-18
Posts: 4031

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Starting with a winning Nicholls treble at Wincanton welldone baz

Online

 

#6 2016-11-05 16:51:45

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

pottokblue wrote:


Starting with a winning Nicholls treble at Wincanton welldone baz
Shame it never delivered on the rest of the races.

Offline

 

#7 2017-02-18 06:11:59

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Some Nicholls runners here today which are loosely based on the criteria above without the age restrictions and I'm only going with the 2 hurdle runners.


3.20 Persian Delight   13/8   Won 11/4
5.05 Dreamcatching   7/4      Won 3/1




Last edited by bazbuz (2017-02-18 17:11:03)

Offline

 

#8 2017-03-01 06:10:31

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

One today for Nicholls at Wincanton.


3.10 Orbasa 11/8  Lost

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-03-08 10:36:26)

Offline

 

#9 2017-03-19 05:24:49

broadway
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2013-10-10
Posts: 1466

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Amazing run of winners from Chris Gordon's stable 10 wins from last 14 runners, the latest at Fontwell 10/1 yesteday. Has a couple entered tomorrow at Southwell 210 Starkle and 240 Ballycoe. Both have good chances at first glance.

Offline

 

#10 2017-03-25 17:08:46

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

4 runners tomorrow that hit the above's criteria.


2.15 Copaine De Classe  6/4  Won 6/5
       Azari                       5/1  2nd 13/8


3.15 Captain Bucks  7/4   Lost
3.45 Antartica De Thaix   8/11   Won 4/9
4.45 Winning Try 5/6    Won 4/5

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-03-28 07:50:04)

Offline

 

#11 2017-04-05 06:31:36

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Nicholls has 5 at Wincanton today. I'm putting up four of them. (2 in the same race)



3.20 Anchor Man 9/4  Lost  San Satiro   8/1 Won 9/1
4.25   Mon Parrain  5/4  NR
4.55   Diamond Guy 11/4   Won 4/9

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-04-06 08:50:15)

Offline

 

#12 2017-04-05 10:14:59

little rossi
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2017-03-26
Posts: 336

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Harry Cobden steps up for the ride on Diamond Guy, has 18 wins from 45 rides here stable won the race with Touch Kick last year with S. T. Davies aboard, this one in my Lucky 15 today.

Offline

 

#13 2017-04-22 16:53:47

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Busy day at Wincanton tomorrow for Nicholls and some skinny prices.


1.50 Dreamcatching 2/11   Won 2/11
2.20 Captain Bucks  9/4  NR
       San Satiro    9/2   Won Evs
2.50 Orbasa     15/8   Lost
3.25 Bistouri Dhonore 4/1  Lost
4.00 Capitaine    1/10   Won 1/14
5.00 Dark Invader   11/10  Lost

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-05-17 08:16:19)

Offline

 

#14 2017-04-23 08:49:56

little rossi
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2017-03-26
Posts: 336

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

As mentioned in daily game thread he could go through the card today, he must be bonkers not to enter anything in the 4.30 to help improve on his 34% winning strike rate here over the last 5 years, 2.20 race is very interesting, not sure what the prize money difference is between himself & Nikki Henderson is ?

Offline

 

#15 2017-10-19 20:25:41

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Carrying on the thread, in October last year Nicholls had 6 wins from 6 runners (2 separate meetings)at the course, he has 5 here tomorrow.


1.40 Gibbs Bay  3/1  Lost
2.15 Orbasa     7/1         Won 15/2
2.50  Garo De Juilley  11/4  Lost
4.00 Dan Mcgrue      4/6    Lost
4.35 The Last But One 11/4   Lost

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-10-20 19:18:06)

Offline

 

#16 2017-10-28 23:06:35

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Nicholls  has 8 in total at Wincanton tomorrow. Because the strike rate can be improved just by taking horses with a  claimer on board I'm just going to put  4 up but I would say all are backable.


1.00 Gibbes Bay  10/3  Lost
2.10 Favorito Bucks  11/2  Lost
2.45 Boa Island   16/1   Lost
3.20 Risk And Roll  6/4  Lost

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-11-11 06:01:48)

Offline

 

#17 2017-10-29 16:56:38

little rossi
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2017-03-26
Posts: 336

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

bazbuz wrote:


Nicholls has 8 in total at Wincanton tomorrow. Because the strike rate can be improved just by taking horses with a claimer on board I'm just going to put 4 up but I would say all are backable.


1.00 Gibbes Bay 10/3
2.10 Favorito Bucks 11/2
2.45 Boa Island 16/1
3.20 Risk And Roll 6/4



Mr. Mix only winner, 1/8 a bookies dream.

Offline

 

#18 2017-11-11 06:16:17

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

A busy day at Wincanton today for Nicholls who has 8 runners on the card. Hopefully he will have a better day here than last time. To shorten the list I'm going to ignore the claimer angle and go for horses aged 4-6 (14 wins from 29 runs since 2013, older horses 1 win from 8 runners). 4-6 year olds marked with *


12.40 Mont Des Avaloirs  7/2Lost
1.50 Jessbers Dream 11/1    Lost
2.25 Modus  4/7  Won 4/6
3.00 Zubayr  6/1*    Lost
3.35 Present Man  10/1   Won 8/1
       Southfield Theatre   10/1  Lost
       Mr Mix      9/1*     Lost
4.10 Earth Leader 4/1*     Lost
 

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-11-11 17:27:32)

Offline

 

#19 2017-11-23 04:28:57

bazbuz
Forum Pro
Join Date: 2012-10-19
Posts: 592

Re: Nicholls at Wincanton

Nicholls has three today that I'm interested in.


12.50 Volpone Jelois 7/1  Lost 
02:00 Dreamcatching 9/2  Lost 
02:35 Captain Cattistock  6/1  Won 4/1

Last edited by bazbuz (2017-11-23 23:12:53)

Offline

 

Board footer

Powered by PunBB
© Copyright 2002–2008 PunBB

Message to