Week overall:83 wins (41.92%) + 80 places, 140 races (70.70%) out of 1981 pound shorter = loss of 20.50Levels: 37 wins + 18 places + 31 losses
What looked like a bad week is actually quite ok stat wise. It felt a lot worse and the bank also took a bit of a hit...Other thoughts:
I had a look back at the horses equal or over 20/1 the night before the race and appearing in the selection and that is how it looks like: (could only go back to 9/02 when i started paying a bit of attention to them as possible interesting ones and since thursday and zipporah that i woke up a bit...):
- 09/02: Carli King 33/1 placed
out of 5
horses in the selection above 20/1. All others lost.
- 10/02: Lochnell 28/1 placed
out of 7
- 11/02: Tulip dress 20/1 placed
out of 9
- 12/02: no wins or places out of 1
- 13/02: no wins or places out of 4
- 14/02: no selection equal or over 20/1
- 15/02: no wins or places out of 3
- 16/02: Zipporah 25/1 win
out of 4
- 17/02: Bonnet's vino 50/1 win
out of 5
- 18/02: i'llhavealook 28/1 placed
out of 9
- 19/02: miles to memphis 25/1 win
out of 2
not a daily occurence but due to the large odds, might be worth putting a bet on these more regularly. Probably not all of them but the ones with the story of place and wins behind them could be useful.
This might not mean a profit in the long run but just for illustration:
1 pound e/w on each horse equal or over 20/1: 49 horses*2=98
returns: 3 wins + 4 places = 32+62+32+7.6+6.6+5+6.6= 151.80 --> profit of 53.80 over the 11 days.
Would be nice if this confirms itself over the next couple of weeks to maybe make it a more systematic bet, possibly with also adaptation as do not need to bet on all if they really appear out of their depth on a specific race...
something to think about if there is not already enough...
edit: screwed up on the return, did not include the stake back... now have included that
Last edited by scram (2017-03-03 16:27:17)