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#1 2017-02-17 01:07:16

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

2 for tips

Here we are, new thread in the systems section...


Same as before, just different place.


Friday 17


Fakenham (soft)
great link - lake chapala Lost / Lost
zeroeshades of grey - bonnet's vinno NR / Win
stowaway magic - ckalco des loges Lost / Place
rear admiral - vicangelome Win / Lost
petite power - movie legend Lost / Lost
carlton ryan - warden hill Win / Place
molly childers - potters sapphire Place / Lost

3 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 7
1 place shorter = +14.90

Sandown (soft)
centurius - bella Place / Lost
dream bolt - pougne bobbi Lost / Lost
kelka - colin's sister Lost / Win
rathlin rose - cody wyoming Win / Lost
percy street - gregarious Lost / Win
pete the feat - twenty eight guns Lost / NR
wicked willy - paddock's lounge Place / Lost

3 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 place shorter = - 2.50

Newcastle
bowban - spiritofhayton Place / Place
dazacam - sutter county Lost / Win
petite jack - buthelezi Place / Lost
clondaw banker - after tonight Lost / Lost
voguatti - mariee Win / Place
worlds his oyster - byres rd Lost / Place
newstead abbey - dark side dream Lost / Place

2 wins + 6 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = - 5.80

Dundalk
strategic heights - the burnham mare  Place / Lost
harbour a secret - sir danilo Lost / Place
bussa - shikhov Lost / Lost
the dancing lord - sartori Lost / Lost
sweetasever - sheisdiesel Lost / Win
northern surprise - patrick Lost / Lost
pure action - estrenar Place / Lost
pique sous - song of love Lost / Win

2 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 8
1 pound shorter = - 3.30

Wolverhampton
misu pete - secret lightning Lost / Lost
invicible man - tricorn Lost / Win
vosne romanee - oratorio's joy Win / Lost
zandradee - royal celebration Lost / Place
boost - fear the fury Win / Lost
favorite girl - rowlestone lass Win / Lost

4 wins + 1 place, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter= +0.90


Overall: 14 wins + 15 places, 26 races out of 35
1 pound shorter= +4.20


Bet across
F5 petite power Lost
F7 molly childers Place
S3 kelka  Lost
N4 clondaw banker Lost
D4 the dancing lord Lost
W6 favorite girl Win

that was inspired...


Levels


Level 1
F3 stowaway magic Lost
S3 colin's sister Win
S5 percy street Lost
N3 petite jack Place
N2 sutter county Win


Level 2
F1 lake chapala Lost
S2 pougne bobbi Lost
S4 rathlin rose Win
D1 strategic heights Place
D6 patrick Lost
W2 tricorn Win
W5 boost Win
W6 favorite girl Win

6 wins + 2 places + 5 losses


Largest odds appearing from the selection: Horses 20/1 and over appearing in the top 2 from the search made. It does not mean they are any good but there might be something interesting about them to look further into. It brought places and winners over the last weeks but it is not a daily occurence, most are losers. If they shorten substantially today maybe something worth a go at. 1 might do something but not all of them in the selection. For what is worth I am looking at bonnet and buthelezi more closely.
Bonnet's vino 50/1 shortened to 20/1 today, however race also lost one horse and now a win only race. Win!
Buthelezi 25/1 lengthened to 40/1 today 8th out of 9
The burnham mare 40/1 lenghtened to 50/1 7th out of 14
bussa 50/1 same as yesterday 10th out of 14
sartori 20/1 lengthened to 22/1 7th out of 12

Tomorrow is another day...


Good luck all...



Last edited by scram (2017-02-17 22:06:24)

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#2 2017-02-17 14:53:07

singhsimma
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Join Date: 2015-09-30
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Re: 2 for tips

Nice one scram I was on Bonnets Vino.

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#3 2017-02-17 14:59:22

scram
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Re: 2 for tips

singhsimma wrote:


Nice one scram I was on Bonnets Vino.
lovely, well done!

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#4 2017-02-17 15:14:19

singhsimma
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Join Date: 2015-09-30
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Re: 2 for tips

Well done to you, you mean.

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#5 2017-02-17 15:47:22

pottokblue
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Join Date: 2012-08-18
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Re: 2 for tips

Well done Scram thread starting well with Bonnet and Rearadmiral at Fakenham

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#6 2017-02-17 16:00:27

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

pottokblue wrote:


Well done Scram thread starting well with Bonnet and Rearadmiral at Fakenham
Thanks Pottokblue!
There are winners here, just a matter of picking the right ones out of all this lot... no mean feat!
The shorter of the two seems reliable enough for now and with a bit of luck, nice combining can bring some nice results!
Good luck!

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#7 2017-02-18 00:51:26

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Saturday 18


Loads, way too many today...


Ascot (soft)
criq rock - top of the game Lost / Place
fletchers flyer - arpege d'alene Lost / Lost
virak - sausalito sunrise Lost / Lost
my khaleesi - oscar hoof Lost / Lost
cue card - royal regatta Win / Lost
fortunate george - theatre goer Place / Lost
sweet little mystery - dont tell val Win / Lost

2 wins + 2 places, 4 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = loss of 6.70

Lingfield
flight of fantasy - beatisa Place / Lost
space war - new rich Win / Lost
verne castle - zipedeedodah Win / Lost
van huysen - qaffaal Lost / Place
dougan - kadrizzi NR / Lost
endeavour - mercers Lost / Win
smiley bagel - grand facile Win / Lost

4 wins + 2 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 1.50

Gowran Park (soft to heavy)
mall dini - bachasson Place / Win
mozoltov - ballycasey Lost / Win
the gate checker - definite ruby Place / NR
jezki - tombstone Place / Win
leomar - tree of knowledge Lost / Lost
page turner - concordin Lost / Place
shimme's rock - good to flow Win / Lost

4 wins + 4 Places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 4.70

Haydock (soft)
most celebrated - final choice Lost / Lost
aux ptits soins - zarkankar Place / Win
nordic nymph - big river Lost / Place
wakanda - vieux lion rouge Lost / Win
theligny - report yo base Lost / Lost
captain redbeard - palm grey Win / Lost
damiens dilemma - wonderful charm Lost / Win

4 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 9.60

Wincanton (soft)
shannan star - black narcissus Win / Lost
dance floor king - the fresh prince Place / Lost
yanworth - sceau royale Win / Lost
mckenzie's friend - walt Lost / Lost
gardefort - grey gold Win / Lost
amantius - i'llhavealook Lost / Place
dreamcatching - meribel millie Win / Lost

4 wins + 2 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = loss of 1.90

Kempton
boychick - hallings comet Place / Lost
al sail - waggle Place / Lost
bridge builder - dream farr Lost / Win
sky cape - kingthistle Lost / Win
bargain buy - stain tondale lass Lost  / Lost
cosmic ray - adventure zone Lost / Lost
rustique - gracious george Lost / Lost
tranquil daze - billy's boots Place / Lost

2 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 8. I hate these double Lost...
1 pound shorter = profit of 0.80



Overall: 20 wins + 15 places, 32 races out of 43
1 pound shorter = profit of 8.00


Bet across
A2 arege d'alene Lost
G4 jezki Place
H1 most celebrated Lost
H2 aux ptits soins Place
W2 the fresh prince Lost
K2 al sail Place




Levels


Level 1
A2 arpege d'alene Lost
A5 cue card Win
G4 jezki Place
W3 yanworth Win


Level 2
A6 fortunate george Place
L1 flight of fantasy Place
L3 verne castle Win
G2 ballycasey Win
G3 definite ruby NR
G6 corcondin Place
H1 most celebrated Lost
H2 aux ptits soins Place
W5 gardefort Win
K1 boychick Place
K2 al sail Place

5 wins + 7 places + 2 losses



And the super large for Saturday, for what its worth i'll double check adventure zone and cosmic ray (same race) + waggle but maybe in the morning will look at the others:
L1 beatisa 25/1 lengthened to 66/1 in morning 5 out of 8
G5 tree of knowledge 40/1 lengthened to 50/1 13 out of 20
G6 page turner 20/1 lengthened to 22/1 15 out of 17
H7 damiens dilemma 66/1 lengthened to 100/1 6 out of 8
W6 i'llhavealook 28/1 lengthened to 33/1 Placed 2nd!
W7 meribel millie 100/1 the same 9 out of 17
K2 waggle 28/1 lengthened to 50/1 11 out of 12
K6 adventure zone 20/1 shortened to 18/1 5 out of 8
K6 cosmic ray 28/1 lengthened to 33/1 6 out 8

adventure zone might have some legs... page turner and i'll havealook did not move much, past data is not terrible.
Keep on 1 of them...

Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-18 23:18:00)

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#8 2017-02-18 23:13:46

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Sunday 19


Market Ransen (soft)
queen odessa - want the fairy tale Lost / Lost
lady markby - martha mccandles Win / Lost
caius marcius - castafiore Lost / Lost
chidswell - hollybush henry NR / Win
make me a fortune - little jimmy Lost / Lost
the mythologist - glendermot Lost / Place


2 wins + 1 place, 3 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = loss of 2.10


Navan (soft)
not a whisper - broken soul Lost / Place
identity thief - ballyoisin NR / Lost
sutton place - dedigout Win / Lost
dounikos - emma beag Lost / Lost
annibale fly - haymount Lost / Place
miles to memphis - lilshane Win / Place
poli roi - ballyhome Win / Lost


3 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = loss of 3.10


Ffos Las (soft)
aintree my dream - going for broke Lost / Place
rock on rocky - all the gear no idea Win / Lost
grace tara - midnight silver Place / Win
bob ford - abbey grey Lost / Place
dolatulo - desertmore vie Win / Lost
filatore - l frank baum NR / Lost


3 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = profit of 3.50


Overall: 8 wins + 7 places, 13 races out of 19
1 pound shorter = loss of 1.70

Levels


Level 1
N1 broken soul Lost
N3 sutton place Win
N5 annibale fly Lost
F1 aintree my dream Lost

Level 2
M1 queen odessa Lost
M3 castafiore Lost
M4 holly bush henry Win
M6 the mythologist Lost
N7 poli roi Win


Level 3
M2 lady markby Win
M3 caius marcius Lost
M5 little jimmy Lost
N2 identity thief NR
N2 ballyoisin Lost
F3 grace tara Place
F3 midnight silver Win

5 wins + 1 place + 9 losses. I will crawl back under my rock...


Larger odds
N3 dedigout 25/1 5th out of 9, lost the 50p on this one
N6 miles to memphis 22/1 This was the one today: Win! got 10p e/w on a good late decision = 3.33 back! A bit of solace yoohoo!! :P i need to check but it is at least 4 days in a row for these long odds to bring something, nice :)


I am interested in looking further into dedigout for a place. Could it happen?




Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-19 17:52:47)

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#9 2017-02-19 18:50:01

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Week overall:


83 wins (41.92%) + 80 places, 140 races (70.70%) out of 198
1 pound shorter = loss of 20.50
Levels: 37 wins + 18 places + 31 losses


What looked like a bad week is actually quite ok stat wise. It felt a lot worse and the bank also took a bit of a hit...

Other thoughts:
I had a look back at the horses equal or over 20/1 the night before the race and appearing in the selection and that is how it looks like: (could only go back to 9/02 when i started paying a bit of attention to them as possible interesting ones and since thursday and zipporah that i woke up a bit...):


- 09/02: Carli King 33/1 placed out of 5 horses in the selection above 20/1. All others lost.
- 10/02: Lochnell 28/1 placed out of 7 selected
- 11/02: Tulip dress 20/1 placed out of 9 selected
- 12/02: no wins or places out of 1 horse selected
- 13/02: no wins or places out of 4 horses selected
- 14/02: no selection equal or over 20/1
- 15/02: no wins or places out of 3 horses selected
- 16/02: Zipporah 25/1 win out of 4 horses selected
- 17/02: Bonnet's vino 50/1 win out of 5 horses selected
- 18/02: i'llhavealook 28/1 placed out of 9 horses selected
- 19/02: miles to memphis 25/1 win out of 2 horses selected




not a daily occurence but due to the large odds, might be worth putting a bet on these more regularly. Probably not all of them but the ones with the story of place and wins behind them could be useful.
This might not mean a profit in the long run but just for illustration: 
1 pound e/w on each horse equal or over 20/1: 49 horses*2=98


returns: 3 wins + 4 places = 32+62+32+7.6+6.6+5+6.6= 151.80 --> profit of 53.80 over the 11 days.
Would be nice if this confirms itself over the next couple of weeks to maybe make it a more systematic bet, possibly with also adaptation as do not need to bet on all if they really appear out of their depth on a specific race...


something to think about if there is not already enough... 0




edit: screwed up on the return, did not include the stake back... now have included that

Last edited by scram (2017-03-03 16:27:17)

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#10 2017-02-20 08:54:22

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Monday 20


Carlisle (soft)
catamaran du seuil - front at last Win / Place
theatre act - hartside Place / Place
verko - newberry new Lost / Lost
little bruce - thyne for gold Lost / Place
blakemount - carrigdhoun Place / Win
brae on - give it a chance Lost / Lost
point of principle - blottos Place / Lost


2 wins + 6 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = loss of 6.50


Lingfield (heavy)
and the new - take to heart Win / Place
american life - burgess dream Place / Win
capilla - tara mac Lost / Win
hitherjacques lady - indian nature Win / Lost
amberdjam - armedanddangerous Lost / Lost
groundunderrepair - not never Win / Lost
man of steel - don't do mondays Win / Lost

6 wins + 2 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +3.90

Wolverhampton 
goldmadchen - giant sequoia Lost / Lost
bush house - war at sea Win / Place
athassel - mary le bow Lost / NR
doc sportello - royal birth Lost / Place
tadaawol - pushkin museum Lost / Place
sugar town - it must be faith Lost / Place
blue bahia - lady hester Win / Lost
killermont street - jumping jack Lost / Lost

2 wins + 4 places, 5 races out of 8
1 pound shorter = loss of 1.20




Overall: 10 wins + 12 places, 16 races out of 22
1 pound shorter = loss of 3.80


Bet across
C7 point of principle Place
L4 hitherjacques lady Win
W7 blue bahia Win




Levels


Level 1
C1 catamaran du seuil Win
W5 pushkin museum Place


Level 2
C2 theatre act Place
C4 little bruce Lost
L2 burgess dream Win
L4 hitherjacques lady Win
L6 groundunderrepair Win
W2 war at sea Place
W6 it must be faith Place




Level 3
C4 thyne for gold Place
C5 blakemount Place
L1 take to heart Place
L5 amberdjam Lost
W1 goldmadchen Lost
W2 bush house Win
W4 royal birth Place
W8 killermont street Lost

5 wins + 8 places + 4 losses

I've seen worse...


No over 20/1 today


Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-20 18:40:23)

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#11 2017-02-20 19:55:06

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Tuesday 21


Wetherby (soft)
cafe au lait - pertuis Win / Lost
chasma - mollyanna Place / Lost
jennysback - eaton hill Win / Place
chestnut ben - groomed Lost / Lost
simmplysam - aengus Place / Win
scarlet fire - suzy's music Lost / Lost
harrisons promise - redemption song NR / Win


4 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 7.70


Southwell
log off - hazell berry Lost / Lost
finale - elegantly bound Lost / Place
custard the dragon - vroom Lost / Place
wentworth falls - lady nayef Lost / Place
bounty pursuit - wimboldsley Win / NR
noguchi - my renaissance Place / Lost


1 win + 4 places, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = loss of 4.20


Taunton (good)
oscar jane - amour d'or Lost / Lost
all but grey - karl marx Lost / Lost
verdana blue - cajun fiddle Win / Place
bells of ailsworth - towering Win / Lost
top tug - workbench Place / Lost
monsieur gibraltar - parkam jack Win / Lost
my story - if the cap fits Lost / Win


4 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 1


Overall: 9 wins + 9 places, 15 races out of 20
1 pound shorter = profit of 4.50


Bet across
W4 chestnut ben Lost
W5 simmply sam Place
W6 scarlet fire Lost




Levels


Level 1
S6 my renaissance Lost

Level 2
W3 jerrysback Win
S3 custard the dragon Lost
S4 lady nayef Place
T1 oscar jane Lost
T3 cajun fiddle Place
T4 towering Lost
T5 top tug Place
T6 monsieur gibraltar Win
T7 if the cap fits Win

should have done level 3 which had more wins and places... 


3 wins + 3 places + 4 losses


Over 20/1
T1 amour d'or 33/1 Pulled Up
T2 all but grey 25/1 8 out of 17
T2 karl marx 28/1 7 out of 17

The 3 look useful, need to look further into the opposition... Most interesting might be all but grey but going for a few pennies on each of them. if one wins, bingo, if one places not too bad, if they all lose then not a massive loss. Not a massive loss then...




Good luck all...



Last edited by scram (2017-02-21 18:18:08)

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#12 2017-02-21 23:53:54

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Wednesday 22


Punchestown (soft)
Knockmaole bay - agent boru Lost / Lost
limini - apple's jade Win / Place
castello sforza - mossback Place / Win
she'llbealright - kilkeaskis first Lost / Lost
freeway space - miss eyecatcher Place / Lost
tyrone tiger - side saddle Lost / Lost
cheval place - stooshie Lost / Lost

2 wins = 3 places, 3 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -8

Ludlow (good to soft)
ridgeway flyer - spin point Win / Lost
wade harper - deadly approach Lost / Win
westend story - step back Lost / Win
amber gambler - william money Lost / Win
stamp your feet - applesandpierres Place / Lost
mendip express - mr mercurial Lost / Win
leaderofthedance - monsieur arkadin NR / NR

5 wins + 1 place, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -2.20
Placepot: a day like today makes me think again about placepots ( I think about pottokblue too)... would i have covered the losses of the past weeks with today's wins? need to pull out the calculator again when i have some time...
placepot: 645 pounds * 1 line at 10p= 64.5 pounds returned. Not amazing but wait for it below...

Doncaster (good)
apasionado - charming zen Place / Win
soldier in action - diable de sivola Win / Place
some kinda lama - wings attract Place / Lost
ericht - seventh sky  Place / Lost
paint the clouds - ardea Win / Place
monty's award - legal ok Lost / Lost

3 wins + 5 places, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = -2.40

Lingfield
silver springs - hipz Lost / Place
bamako du chatelet - tempuran Place / Lost
shankara - wedding breakfast Lost / Lost
havelock - mitigate Place / Win
dangerous ends - money or your life Lost / Place
oulaw torn - frontline phantom Lost / Place

1 win + 5 places, 5 races out of 6

1 pound shorter= +0.10

Kempton
living leader - touch the clouds Win / NR
balashakh - alabaster Place / Win
darebin - sandy cove Place / Lost
under siege - florencio Place / Win
winterlude - intense tango Win / Lost
shan dunna ngall - ascendant Lost / Win

5 wins + 3 places, 6 races out of 6 Yoohoo!!!
1 pound shorter = +26.80
Placepot: 1035.50, yep sir and madam, * 4 lines= 414.20 pounds in the kitty if you have done this placepot. i have not obviously but damned that would be nice!

Overall: 16 wins + 17 places, 25 races out of 32
1 pound shorter = profit of 14.30
Placepot= 32 out, 478.70 in = quite a bit in

Bet across
D1 apasionado Place
D5 paint the clouds Win
D6 monty's award Lost
Li2 bamako du chatelet Place
Li5 dangerous ends Lost
K2 balashakh Place




Levels


Level 1
P2 apple's jade Place
D1 charming zen Win
D5 paint the clouds Win


Level 2
P1 knockmaole Lost
P3 castello sforza Place
Lu1 ridgeway flyer Win
Lu4 william money Win
D2 soldier in action Win
D3 some kinda lama Place
Li3 shankara Lost
Li6 outlaw torn Lost
K2 alabaster Win
K6 shan dunna ngall Lost

6 wins + 3 places + 4 losses

Over 20/1
P7 cheval place 66/1 10th out of 11
Lu1 spin point 33/1 13th out of 15, somehow the one i prefered today and backed a tiny bit more than the others
Li6 frontline phantom 33/1 Placed 3rd at 40/1 That is nice
K1 living leader 22/1 Win at 25/1!!! That is rather nicer :)
K1 touch the clouds 40/1 NR

Tomorrow is another day though...



Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-22 23:53:46)

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#13 2017-02-22 18:51:58

singhsimma
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Join Date: 2015-09-30
Posts: 13

Re: 2 for tips

Living Leader get in there. Top pick Scram.

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#14 2017-02-22 20:54:22

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Thank you singhsimma, i hope you made some money today!
went it small (10p but better return than if they were in the bank :P )

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#15 2017-02-22 23:20:50

scram
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Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Thursday 23


Huntingdon (soft)
arden dennis - galactic power
sir antony browne - parish boy
may hay - listen to the man
act in pieces - desert queen
ballycoe - lord landen
chato - just before dawn
boagrius - royal village
Abandoned

Chelmsford
yisty - topsoil Lost / Lost
toy theatre - dusty bin Place / Lost
byres road - pearl spectre Lost / Lost
alkashaaf - zamjar Void / Void
red alert - alfonso manana Win / Place
saved my bacon - veena NR / Win
nouvelle ere - whip up a frenzy Win / Lost

3 wins + 2 places, 4 races out of 6

1 pound shorter = profit of 8.20

Thurles (soft)
realt mor - westerner point Lost / Win
daisy's gift - girly girl Lost / Lost
moulin a vent - champagne classic Place / Lost
call the taxie - gettysburg address Win / Lost
venitien de mai - sutton manor Lost / Win
samanntom - the conkers club Lost / Lost
martello park - la bella vida Win / Place

4 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = profit of 2.40

Sedgefield (soft)
fiddler's flight - dark and dangerous Lost / Win
on the road - make me a fortune Win / NR
mr clarkson - crackdeloust Win / Place
roxyfet - chakisto Lost / Lost
tomkevi - kauto riko Win / Place
the omen - what a dream Place / Lost

4 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 6

1 pound shorter= profit of 1.80

Wolverhampton
bailey's apprentice - chough Lost / Lost
dark titan - forest angel Win / Lost
little kipling - dose Lost / Place
retrieve - regarde moi Win / Lost
amazement - masterful act Win / Lost
miracle garden - you're cool Lost / Win

4 wins + 1 place, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = profit of 10.80


Overall: 15 wins + 8 places, 19 races out of 25. That was nice.
1 pound shorter = profit of 23.20. the shorter of the two horses was a safe bet today with quite a few nice odds as well.

Bet across
H4 act in pieces NR
T5 venitien de mai Lost
T7 martello park Win
S5 tomkevi Win
W2 dark titan Win




Levels


Level 1
H1 arden dennis NR
H2 sir anthony browne NR
H3 listen to the man NR
H4 desert queen NR
S2 on the road Win
S3 mr clarkson Win
S4 chakisto Lost
S5 kauto riko Place




Level 2
H7 boagrius NR
C6 veena Win
T2 daisy's gift Lost
T3 champagne classic Lost
T7 martello park Win

4 wins + 1 place + 3 losses

Larger odds
H2 Parish boy 25/1 yesterday, morning 50/1 NR
C7 whip up a frenzy 20/1 yesterday, morning 25/1 10th out of 14
T6 the conkers club 20/1  same today 10th out of 12
well it does not work everyday otherwise what is the point...


And a second place on the daily game as well. not a bad day with a nice profit on the monthly game too.


Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-23 21:32:39)

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#16 2017-02-23 08:35:28

pottokblue
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Join Date: 2012-08-18
Posts: 3519

Re: 2 for tips

Well picked at Ludlow and Kempton yesterday two big sizepotssmile.gif

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#17 2017-02-23 10:59:03

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips


pottokblue wrote:


Well picked at Ludlow and Kempton yesterday two big sizepotssmile.gif
0

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#18 2017-02-23 23:45:36

scram
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Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Friday 24


Warwick (soft)
monsieur co - coo star sivola Lost / Win
sporty yankee - night of sin Lost / Win
bassarabad - royals and rebels Win / Lost
do it for the village - pressurize Lost / Lost
william money - act now NR / Lost
future gilded - definite memories Place / Lost
dame rose - turn turk NR / Place

3 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +1.70

Exeter (soft)
little miss poet - cascaye Place / Win
giveaway glance - tara mist Lost / Lost
wild west wind - label des obeaux Lost / Win
kingswell theatre - mountainous Win / NR
any drama - brahms de clermont Win / Place
albert d'olivate - crank em up Lost / Lost
old magic - georgieshore Lost / Lost

4 wins + 2 places, 4 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +23

Lingfield
mystikana - jersey bull Win / Lost
appy days - the blue bomber Place / Lost
oakley pride - london grammar Lost / Lost
fire diamond - shyron Lost / Lost
tigerfish - valley lodge Win / Lost
popsilca - who told jo jo Lost / Lost

2 wins + 1 place, 3 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = -1.30

Dundalk
chestnut fire - hesourmusic Win / Lost
zinat - main pulse Win / Lost
tribal path - coreczka NR / Lost
goodnite irina - wild shot Lost / Lost
twistsandturns - alans pride Lost / Lost
new direction - park row Place / NR
ligeti - cristy's call Win / Place
serefili - hello humpfrey Win / Lost


wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 8
1 pound shorter = -1.60


Wolverhampton
national service - lizzy's dream Place / Lost
scrafton - dream serenade Lost / Lost
roaring rory - it must be faith Lost / Lost
tailor's row - spirit of sarwan Place / Lost
bismark the flyer - scotch myst Lost / Lost
logi - ebitda Win / Lost

1 win + 2 places, 3 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = -2.20

Overall: 14 wins + 9 places, 20 races out of 34. A poor day really saved by a larger odd winner.
1 pound shorter = profit of 19.60



Bet across
Wa3 bassarabad Win
Wa5 william money NR
Wa6 future gilded Place
E1 little miss poet Place
E3 wild west wind Lost
L5 tigerfish Win
L6 posilca Lost




Levels


Level 1

E1 little miss poet Place
E5 any drama Win


Level 2
Wa5 william money NR
E3 wild west wind Lost
L6 popsilca Lost
D1 chestnut fire Win
D2 zinat Win
D7 ligeti Win


4 wins + 1 place + 2 losses


Larger odds
E4 kingswell theatre 20/1 Win!! :) 
E7 georgieshore 20/1  5th out of 12
L3 london grammar 50/1 7th out of 11
L4 fire diamond 25/1 10th out of 12


Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-25 17:01:38)

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#19 2017-02-24 16:19:22

pottokblue
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Join Date: 2012-08-18
Posts: 3519

Re: 2 for tips

Welldone at E4 I'm hoping for Pottersangelique at 20/1 E7 to come in for a small e/w L15, Coodesivola, Nightofsin and Bassarad

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#20 2017-02-24 23:59:29

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Thanks Pottokblue. Nice L15, pity about the last one but hopefully for another day!


I have put a bet on all the larger selections for the last few days as it seems to make sense. Nothing major, between 5 to 20p each way depending on my confidence level on them. Kingswell got 20p e/w, i should have put more as I saw that strong word also backed it and he usually has some useful tips.
Georgieshore looked interesting too but not for today unfortunately.
All good though, a profitable day despite an across the meetings mare - not the horse the night one! :)

Last edited by scram (2017-02-25 00:00:11)

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#21 2017-02-25 00:55:44

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Saturday 25


Kempton (good)
coastal tiep - nathans pride Place / Lost
charli parcs - bedrock Lost / Lost
frodon - charmix Win / Lost
capitaine - elgin Lost / Place
irish saint - three musketeers Lost / Lost
ballycoe - sir note Lost / Win
irish prophecy - champ Win / Place


3 wins + 3 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -0.30


Lingfield
oud metha bridge - trade route Place / Place
pretend - verne castle Lost / Place
chester street - haaf a sixpence Lost / Lost
grendisar - battalion Lost / Lost
alfonso manana - rag tatter Lost / Lost
sennockian star - precision five Win / Lost
etaad - music major Place / Win

2 wins + 4 places, 4 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -3.40


Newcastle (heavy)
testify - de vous a moi Lost / Win
vinciattis - nuts well Lost / Place
emperors choice - mountainous Place / Lost
zamdy man - the dutchman Win / Lost
the nipper - elusive theatre Win / Lost
ballybolley - gold opera Lost / Win
carlos du fruitier - mcgowan's pass Place / Win

5 wins + 3 places, 7 races out of 7, Yoohoo!
1 pound shorter = - 3.80
Placepot: 657.80* 1 line = 65.78

Fairyhouse (heavy)
dinaria des obeaux - sword fighter Win / Lost
golden flowerpower - court challenge Lost / Lost
carrig cathal - thebarrowman Place/ Lost
roi des francs - pleasant company Lost / Win
dicosimo - pyromaniac Place / Place
seabass - aupcharlie Lost / Win
empire burlesque - fulham rd Win / Place

4 wins + 4 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +2

Chepstow (soft)
rainy day dylan - chestnut storm Lost / Lost
rock the kasbah - missed approach Win / Lost
the gipper - catchin time Win / Lost
soupy soups - surtee du berlais Lost / Place
grey gold - bright new dawn Lost / Lost
modeligo - edeiff's lad Win / Lost
daylami kirk - hidden impact NR / Place

3 wins + 2 places, 5 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = + 3.90

Wolverhampton 
elusivity - invicible ridge Lost / Place
grams and ounces - stone cold soba Lost / Place
crindle carr - fulham Lost / Win
wild approach - dazacam Lost / Lost
cyrus dallin - poetic force Lost / Win
what usain - sir lancelot Lost / Lost
coquine - dark confidant Lost / Lost

2 wins + 2 places, 4 races out of 7

1 pound shorter = -2.10




Overall: 19 wins + 18 places, 31 races out of 42
1 pound shorter = -3.70
Placepot: 65.78 in, 38.40 out = 27.38 in profit


Bet across:

L2 pretend Lost
N2 vinciaettis  Lost
F2 golden flowerpower Lost
F7 empire burlesque Win
C7 daylami kirk NR
W3 crindle carr Lost
W5 cyrus dallin Lost

feels like i read the page the wrong way around... 4 places and 2 wins with the other horse selection... oups...

Levels


Level 1
K2 charli parcs Lost
K3 frodon Win
K7 champ Place


Level 2
K4 capitaine Lost
K4 elgin Place
N4 zamdy man Win
F7 empire burlesque Win
W1 invincible ridge Place


3 wins + 3 places + 2 losses


Larger odds:
K2 bedrock 20/1 same in morning 5th out of 10
N3 emperor's choice 20/1 same in morning Placed! 5th out of 18
F1 sword fighter 25/1 morning at 33/1 5th out of 9
C1 rainy day dylan 20/1 morning at 18/1 5th out of 16
C1 chestnut storm 50/1 morning at 66/1 Last out of 16
W2 Grams and ounces 25/1 same in morning 7th out of 9

for info my preferred off that list are sword fighter, rainy day dylan , followed by grams and ounces, then emperor's choice, bedrock and finally chestnut storm. tops get 20p e/w, last 5p e/w. Might add extra if i see them mentioned around (strongword, the SAS, camtrader etc. saying that they are considering them as that indicates higher possibilities of a place or more) + depending on the movements in the morning worth second thoughts or not + finally looking at how many places paid out and the field in general... E4 yesterday had 5 places paid by coral so kingswell could well be in there; today it is N3 that gets the 5 places treatment, so emperor's choice could well get close if not in so get some extra pennies...
Well not sure you can bet on these horses finishing 5th but that would be a nice 4 fold 5th place...

In the end one place out of 6 horses, I am OK with that. Hopefully you also got a 5th place paid...




Small loss in today's real money betting but the last few days have been good so forward and upwards, tomorrow is another day...


Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-25 21:27:37)

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#22 2017-02-25 22:08:32

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Sunday 26


Fontwell (soft)
as de mee - kilcrea vale Lost / Win
wizards bridge - johns luck Win / NR
different gravey - l'ami serge Lost / Lost
sir antony browne - peak to peak Place / Lost
current exchange - according to trev Place / Lost
third act - letemgo Lost / Place
puppet warrior - sliding doors Place / Lost

2 wins + 4 places, 6 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -2.50


Southwell (soft)
uno valoroso - truckers highway Lost / Lost
ashford wood - tommy the rascal Lost / Lost
shantou rock - buckle street Place / Win
nicki's nipper - diamond tammy Lost / Lost
nobuttaboy - minstrels gallery Lost / Place
lord landen - riddlestown Lost / Place
mon palois - my mate mark Lost / Win

2 wins + 3 places, 4 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = -4.10


Naas (soft to heavy)
monotype - drumconnor lad Lost / Lost
adreamstillalive - sanibel island Win / Lost
keppols queen -  agreat view Lost / Lost
forge meadow - pravalaguna Win / Lost
clarcam - just cameron Lost / Lost
bothair clei - thelobstercatcher Lost / Lost
monbeg worldwide - balkalin Win / Lost


3 wins, 3 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +7.40

Overall: 7 wins + 7 places, 13 races out of 21
1 pound shorter = +0.80


Levels


Level 1
F1 kilcrea vale Win
S3 shantou rock Place
N7 monbeg worldwide Win


Level 2
F4 sir antony browne Place
S1 uno valoroso Lost
S7 mon palois Lost


Level 3
F2 johns luck NR
F3 l'ami serge Lost
F4 peak to peak Lost
F6 letemgo Place
F7 puppet warrior Place
S5 nobuttaboy Lost
N2 adreamstillalive Win
N5 clarcam Lost
N5 just cameron Lost
N6 the lobstercatcher Lost


3 wins + 4 places + 8 losses

Larger odds:
S4 diamond tammy 40/1 Pulled Up
N6 bothair clei 20/1 6th out of 12


All this blue is painful to the eyes. Need a turnaround pronto.
Saved in real money betting today by some nice L31 and L15 built and found around.


Good luck all...



Last edited by scram (2017-02-26 18:46:48)

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#23 2017-02-26 19:16:02

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips

Week review:


90 wins (45.92%) + 80 places, 139 races (70.92%) out of 196
1 pound shorter = profit of 54.90
Levels: 28 wins + 23 places + 27 losses

It appears to be a good week, ratio of winner is one of the highest so far. In real money also went up a bit in the bank so can keep on playing for a little while more...


Higher odds:

- 09/02: Carli King 33/1 placed out of 5 horses in the selection above 20/1. All others lost.
- 10/02: Lochnell 28/1 placed out of 7 selected
- 11/02: Tulip dress 20/1 placed out of 9 selected
- 12/02: no wins or places out of 1 horse selected
- 13/02: no wins or places out of 4 horses selected
- 14/02: no selection equal or over 20/1
- 15/02: no wins or places out of 3 horses selected
- 16/02: Zipporah 25/1 win out of horses selected
- 17/02: Bonnet's vino 50/1 win out of 5 horses selected
- 18/02: i'llhavealook 28/1 placed out of 9 horses selected
- 19/02: miles to memphis 25/1 win out of 2 horses selected

- 20/02: no selection equal or over 20/1
- 21/02: no wins or places out of 3 horses selected
- 22/02: Living leader 25/1 win + Frontline phantom 40/1 placed out of 4 horses selected
- 23/02: no wins or places out of 2 horses selected
- 24/02: Kingswell theatre 20/1 win out of 4 horses selected
- 25/02: Emperor's choice 20/1 placed out of 6 horses selected
- 26/02: no wins or places out of 2 horses selected


This week: 
21 horses selected, 1 pound each way = 42 pounds out
32+9+26+5= 72 pounds in  
Total: 30 pounds profit
Since 09/02: 53.80+30= 83.80 profit


This looks good still. Proof needed over a longer period but so far so good.

Edited 03/03 as i screwed up on the returns, did not include the stake back. now have hence a little higher profits than before.


Placepot catch-up:
As mentioned a few days ago, i got the calculator out on the placepots. Seeing if it is worth doing in the medium to long term.
Going back on the data here since mid January:
January: 
81 meetings * 6.40 pounds (10p per line, 2 horses per line)= 518.40 out
12 placepots won: 379.99 in
Total: loss of 138.41


February (updated 28/02):
115 meetings * 6.40= 736.20 out
15 placepots won: 709.28 in
Total: loss of 26.92


So, so far without especially concentrating on doing placepots, it is not too far off breaking even. Not worth it so far but will see over a longer period...



Last edited by scram (2017-03-03 16:30:03)

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#24 2017-02-27 00:31:07

scram
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Join Date: 2017-01-08
Posts: 265

Re: 2 for tips


Monday 27


Plumpton (soft)
Elocution - argyle Lost / Place
mr fitzroy - bagging turf Place / Lost
deckers delight - snipettydoodah Lost / Win
shimba hills - goldslinger Place / Lost
big georgie - saroque Lost / Place
general girling - bostin Lost / Lost

1 win + 4 places, 5 races out of 6
1 pound shorter = -2.60
A bit disappointing this one as the change in going means a bit of a screw up. With heavy there would have been 3 extra wins and 1 extra place. Still miss on the last race though...


Ayr (heavy)
verona opera - trongate Win / Place
anitopia - spring over Lost / Place
billy billy - virnon Lost / Place
jonny eager - kilbree chief Lost / Win
chidswell - angus milan Win / Lost
ryedale racer - shades of midnight Lost / Place
dunly - golden jeffrey Place / Win


4 wins + 5 places, 7 races out of 7. Yoohoo!!
1 pound shorter = -3 still, as the shorter placed
Placepot: 317* 2 lines = 63.40


Wolverhampton

admirable art - gabrial the thug Win / Place
miracle garden - cultured knight Place / NR
poetic queen - harlequin storm Win / Lost
bosham - eljaddaaf Lost / Lost
spes nostra - english summer Lost / Lost
avantgardist - born legend Lost / NR
little nosegay - billy's boots Win / Lost

3 wins + 2 places, 4 races out of 7
1 pound shorter = +7.80


Overall: 8 wins + 11 places, 16 races out of 20
1 pound shorter = +2.20
Placepot: 63.40 in, 19.20 out = +44.20




Levels 

Level 1
P4 shimba hills Place
A1 trongate Place


Level 2
A5 chidswell Win
A7 golden jeffrey Win
W1 gabrial the thug Place
W2 miracle garden Place
W3 harlequin storm Lost
W5 spes nostra Lost


Level 3
P2 bagging turf Lost
P3 snippetydoodah Win
P5 saroque Place
A3 billy billy Lost
A4 kilbree chief Win
A6 ryedale dancer Lost
A6 shades of midnight Place

4 wins + 6 places + 5 losses



Larger odds
P5 big georgie 20/1 Lost, 3rd out of 5. Probably unlucky due to the heavy going.


Real money bank going up :)

Good luck all...

Last edited by scram (2017-02-27 19:19:42)

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#25 2017-02-27 14:43:12

sampickss
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Join Date: 2016-10-13
Posts: 776

Re: 2 for tips

scram wrote:





Wolverhampton

admirable art - gabrial the thug
miracle garden - cultured knight
poetic queen - harlequin storm
bosham - eljaddaaf
spes nostra - english summer
avantgardist - born legend
little nosegay - billy's boots


Very well done with this Scram 1st 2nd and 3rd what a tricast that would of been English summer makes me nervous now lmfao

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