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charl nap 24 February 12:21
AW Form
On the Aw over the last few weeks I've noticed a rise in the amount of horses getting back in to the winners enclosure with a apprentice jockey on top. Three brilliant examples here bring three horses all coming from the same stable with the same rider on aboard. They were Bookeeper, Welsh Inlet and Pharoah Jake the trainer John Bridger and the Jockey Jane Elliot (7). Now these three horses had all dropped back down to a mark they had won off previously and with the very capable up and coming jockey Jane Elliot riding they had a valuable 7 pounds in hand. All three were priced at 16/1 14/1 & 14/1. It led me to see a pattern which I have been following since, for a tidy profit. The key three factors are, The horse is running back at a track that it has won over the course and distance , it is back on its last winning mark or lower at the same course and it has an apprentice rider booked to ride claiming weight. Now with the AW hitting it's peak it's definitely worth keeping a eye on this, not only for this trainer jockey combo it's happening with others too.
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charl nap 26 February 11:45
Trying The Trip
Three Horses trying a trip .. Three horses who on breeding suggest they should all relish it ! So I will start with aptly named Three faces west, He tackles 3 Miles for the first time since his sole point to point win which I always feel provides a positive in itself. Having run a close eye into his pedigree he's crying out for a stamina test, with him being closely related to one time favourite for the Grand national a few years back Frankie Figg. His Full brother Forgotten gold did all his winning at 3 Miles + and both have achieved ratings over fences in the high 130's low 140's. So I fully expect this Lightly raced Hobbs horse to go on and win today racing off of 130 and to tackle greater stamina tests in his future! Who knows maybe even a national one day!

My second selection Jarir who runs in the 4:40 at Lingfield has already been very well supported today and I expect him to win well off of 73 ! He has gradually improved and grown in to himself from 2 to 3 finishing 2nd first time out this year and following it up with a impressive win at today's venue when stepped up to a mile and 1M 1/4. I believe the extra 2F can only bring out further improvement to this beautifully bred animal being a half brother to the ultra game High Accolade who was second in a St Leger!

My final Selection stepping up in trip is is likely to need further than today's test, Well certainly on breeding anyway as his French related siblings won at marathon trips as far as 3M 4F, With this surely a step towards future competitive 3M+ races (Probably over fences). He goes in the 5:00 his name is Baraka De Thaix trained by Mr D Pipe. Now this horse has been highly tried in a short career so far beaten 2L in a triumph hurdle trial behind the smart Hargam the season before last, to then finish tailed off in the triumph hurdle last season. This would indicate he showed a fair level of promise at pond house and has maybe disappointed since. However its fair to say and I'm sure Mr Pipe would agree his horses have run below par for whatever reason from the start of this season. Anyhow he's back! and at the right time too, with the festival on the horizon ! So I fully expect to see a bold showing from this horse dropped back into a class 4 Handicap and at odds of 10-1 he is a rock solid each way bet.

By James Goddard 26 Feb 2016 11:45
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charl nap 25 February 9:45
Pedigree Watch
Gwafa runs in the 1:45 today at Huntingdon. A horse that first caught my eye running in the colours made famous by derby winner Authorized. He made a very promising d├ębut although beaten a fair way in the end by vastly more experienced horses non other than second favourite for the supreme novices Altior. He was far from disgraced that day and the form is rock solid with the Mullins horse who finished second going on to win recently very well and with the likely hood the winner will run The Mighty 'Min' very close at Cheltenham. Gwafa then went on to confirm the promise I first saw with an authoritative win at Fakenham. Now this horse has a beautiful pedigree with a blend of flat speed and jumps stamina being a half brother to the old boy and good on his day Australia Day trained also by Paul Webber, a trainer I have always felt if given the ammo he can get the horses to fire at the top level, so very happy to see the backing given by a powerful owner with the hopes this could be the start of a successful partnership.

Entered to run at Kempton in the Grade 2 Dovecote novices on Saturday shows connections rate him highly enough at this early stage and with today's race being the correct and sensible decision to gain more experience I expect him to prevail and move on to bigger targets with Aintree very much on the agenda!

By James Goddard 25 Feb 2016 09:45
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